Citi Equity First : Financial Investments Reflecting Strategic Thinking
CitiWarrants® Monitor

Overview

  • Overseas Markets – Wall Street had its steepest decline in more than two months on Thursday, as more signs of weakness in the labor market and increasingly sluggish growth overseas fueled fears about the ability of the U.S. economy to stage a recovery.
  • Australian Markets – Australian shares fell 1.6 percent on Thursday, dragged down by miners including BHP Billiton Ltd and energy firms on worries about demand for commodities amid a global economic slowdown.
  • Stock Focus – Crown Limited: Clock Starts Ticking on FTTN.

ASX presentations : Instalment strategies

There are different styles of ASX traded Warrants which can suit investment or trading purposes of investors. ASX is conducting a series of investment-style presentations about Instalments to retail investors in 2008. Investors can attend for free and will learn about the benefits, risks and alternative strategies to consider when investing in ASX listed Instalments. For example Instalments are used to gain leveraged exposure to shares, baskets of shares, or listed managed investments such as exchange traded funds (ETFs).

Upcoming Presentations

Please find below the adviser's link www.asx.com.au/warrantadviser & the retail link www.asx.com.au/warrantsroadshow

US Markets

Dow Jones – Down 345 pts to 11,188

Wall Street had its steepest decline in more than two months on Thursday, as more signs of weakness in the labor market and increasingly sluggish growth overseas fueled fears about the ability of the U.S. economy to stage a recovery. The sour mood was set early in the session, after weekly government data showed an unexpected jump in the number of filings for jobless benefits, while a report by ADP Employer Services showed private employers cut 33,000 jobs in August. The data fueled investor nervousness ahead of the government's key August non-farm payrolls report, and losses cascaded in afternoon trading. The Dow fell more than 340 points and only one of its 30 components escaped the sell-off. Construction and mining equipment maker Terex Corp compounded the gloom when it cut its 2008 sales and profit forecast, citing weak demand in Western Europe and North America. Top drags included economic bellwethers Caterpillar Inc and General Electric. Financial stocks were also hammered, after Bill Gross, the manager of the world's biggest bond fund, Pimco, said that to halt what he called "a financial tsunami" the U.S. government should give the Treasury the right to buy debt and other assets. Gross said he was staying on the sidelines of the markets.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 344.65 points, or 2.99 percent, to 11,188.23, while the Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX dropped 38.15 points, or 2.99 percent, to 1,236.83. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC tumbled 74.69 points, or 3.20 percent, to 2,259.04. It was the biggest one-day percentage drop for the three major indexes since June 26. It was also the fourth day of losses for both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, and the S&P 500's longest losing streak since January. Losses accelerated in the last hours of trading after the S&P 500 broke below the 1,260 level, a technical support level that had survived several tests in August. Also in late afternoon trading, Pimco's Gross told CNBC television that his firm's clients and contacts around the world were "sitting on their hands as well," waiting for a major buyer to come into the asset markets. Generally lackluster August retail sales were another headwind for the market, as were concerns that sluggish growth was emerging abroad. The president of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, said euro zone data points to weakening growth at midyear.

Economists expect the government's labor report on Friday to show a decline of 75,000 jobs in August, which would be the eighth consecutive month of job losses in the United States. Shares of Caterpillar, the maker of bulldozers and excavators and a major exporter, fell 5.6 percent to $63.94. Terex shares fell 19.7 percent to $38.02. Boeing's stock slid 4.6 percent to $63.03 after the plane maker's largest labor union said its members had rejected the company's contract offer and voted to strike.

Shares of investment bank Lehman Brother fell 10.5 percent to $15.17. Lehman's LibertyView hedge funds lost money in July, when tumbling financial markets left many hedge fund managers nursing their biggest declines of the year, according to a note to investors obtained by Reuters. Shares of technology companies, considered vulnerable because of their overseas exposure, tumbled. Networking equipment maker Cisco Systems was a top drag on the S&P 500, with a drop of 4.4 percent at $22.28 on Nasdaq. BlackBerry devices maker Research In Motion was the top Nasdaq drag, falling 6.4 percent to $107.49. Shares of iPhone maker Apple dropped 3.4 percent to $161.22.

U.S. communications equipment maker Ciena Corp slashed its revenue outlook due to phone companies delaying purchases amid a weak economy. Its shares fell 24.9 percent to $13.09. Trading was moderate on the New York Stock Exchange, with about 1.3 billion shares changing hands, below last year's estimated daily average of roughly 1.9 billion, while on Nasdaq, about 2.3 billion shares traded, above last year's daily average of 2.17 billion. Declining stocks outnumbered advancing ones by 5 to 1 on the NYSE and by 4 to 1 on the Nasdaq.

We have the following US Indices trading warrants:-

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

S&P 500 Index

Link to Nikkei Index trading warrants Product Disclosure Statement:

Nikkei Index

Australian Market

ASX 200 – Down 86 pts to 4,980

Australian shares fell 1.6 percent on Thursday, dragged down by miners including BHP Billiton Ltd and energy firms on worries about demand for commodities amid a global economic slowdown. Data from Australia the previous day pointing to slowdown in the economy was also a cue for some investors to sell. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index fell 80.5 points to close at 4,979.5, according to the latest available data, adding to a 1.1 percent drop on Wednesday. The index is now down 21.4 percent since the start of the year. New Zealand's benchmark NZX-50 index .NZ50 ended down 0.75 percent at 3,348.1. Miners led the declines in Australia, with BHP Billiton falling 2.2 percent to A$37.11 while its rival and takeover target, Rio Tinto Ltd, shed 0.8 percent to A$111.59. Zinc miner Perilya Ltd fell 10.3 percent to A$0.435, while nickel miner Minara Resources Ltd fell 18 percent to A$1.27. Minara later told the stock exchange in response to a query that it knew of no reason for the share price fall. Oil firm Santos Ltd fell 3 percent to A$17.63 while Woodside Petroleum Ltd lost 0.1 percent to A$56.45. Among gainers, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd rose 0.7 percent to A$16.92. It said it had raised A$1 billion ($833 million) in a sale of convertible preference shares. Consumer-related stocks also benefited from the switch out of resources, with grocery wholesaler Metcash Ltd up 2.96 percent at A$4.17 after it reaffirmed its 2009 earnings per share forecast of between 28.3 and 29.3 cents per share and said first-quarter trading met expectations. Also gaining was toll road operator Brisconnections, which jumped 8 percent after U.S. fund Capital Group bought a 7 percent stake, according to a filing with exchange.

Terminations

BHPXOL

New Issues

Code

Exercise Price

Expiry Date

Type

Ratio/ Multiplier

Am/Euro.

XJOWOB

4700

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOC

4900

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOD

5100

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOE

5300

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOF

5500

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOG

5700

18-Dec-08

Index Call

0.005

European

XJOWOP

4600

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

XJOWOQ

4800

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

XJOWOR

5000

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

XJOWOS

5200

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

XJOWOT

5400

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

XJOWOU

5600

18-Dec-08

Index Put

0.005

European

Stock Focus

Crown Limited

Taking Associates down — Forecasts for CWN's associates have been amended following further discussions post the FY08 results. Earnings have been revised down, by 14% in FY09e to 52.2cps and 5% in FY10e to 75cps. Principal driver for FY09e downgrade is City of Dreams pre-opening costs (CWN's share = AS$46m), which are now included in core eps and account for 11% of FY09e downgrade. We'd previously considered these costs non-core.

Target Price now $11.00. Buy retained — We now incorporate CWN's 37.9% MPEL stake into valuation at a 10% discount to current MPEL ADR price of US$6.49.

Mis-pricing may persist for some time — The discount implied could persist until City of Dreams opens and establishes operational profitability, and until the regulatory climate in Macau stabilises. CWN is still a much better way to gain exposure to Macau and any recovery in Las Vegas than its listed peers, with a FY10e EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.7x vs. 8.1x to 12.2x to "vanilla" Macau peers and 13.5x to 15.7x for peers with combined Macau/LV exposure.

Instalment Warrants

Code

Maturity

Strike

Type

Delta

CWNIOH

Nov-08

7.50

Inst

0.78

CWNIOD

Jun-09

7.19

Inst

0.77

CWNIOO

Dec-09

6.00

Inst

0.85

CWNIOI

Dec-09

8.50

Inst

0.66

CWNIOA

Jun-10

6.00

Inst

0.84

For further information please contact the Citi Warrants Desk on 1300 30 70 70 or go to our website www.citiwarrants.com.au

Important CitiWarrants Notice: Where we have used a V as the 4th letter in the warrant code, this is a TRADING warrant. For example, BHPVOR is a trading warrant. This situation has arisen simply because of the number of Citi Trading Warrants in the market.

Important CitiWarrants Notice: Where we have used a Y as the 4th letter in the warrant code, this is a TURBO warrant, with a single-touch barrier. For example, XJOYOV is a turbo warrant. This situation has arisen simply because of the number of Citi Turbo Warrants in the market.

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as at 5th September 2008
Top Warrants by Volume
 CodeVolume
 TLSIOB605,000
 BHPWOG375,000
 NCMWOF218,000
 MQGWOP200,000
 XJOXOW182,800
 NABWOH155,000
 LGLIOH140,000
 MQGIOF136,000
 XJOVOT123,000
 OSHIOU111,000
Top Warrants by Value
 MQGIOF$3,357,840
 NCMIOU$597,120
 MQGWOP$568,000
 TLSIOB$556,600
 OSHIOU$346,320
 ANZXOE$239,274
 XJOXOW$210,220
 XJOVOP$183,221
 XJOVOT$125,460
 ANZSOB$99,225
US Markets
  Level Change % Change
 Dow 11188 -345 -2.99
 S&P 500 1237 -38 -2.99
 Nasdaq 2259 -75 -3.20
   ($A Equiv) Change Spread (%)
 NWS  16.59 -3.60 3.44
Australia (Overnight)
  Level Change % Change
 SPI 4899 -148 -2.93%
Overseas Indices
  Level Change % Change
 FTSE100 5362 -138 -2.5%
 DAX 6280 -188 -2.9%
 CAC 40 4304 -143 -3.2%
 Nikkei 12558 -132 -1.0%
 $A/US 0.8228 -0.01 -0.8%
 Gold 796.40 -11.35 -1.4%
 Oil (WTI) 107.89 -1.46 -1.3%
Dual Listed
  Level (GBP) % Change Spread (%)
 BHP Billiton  14.86  -2.69% 16.3%
 Rio Tinto  44.71  -2.91% 16.2%

The Financial Products referred to on this page are issued by Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited (ABN 64 003 114 832) a Licensed Securities Dealer and Futures Broker and a Participating Organisation of Australian Stock Exchange Limited and a Participant of Sydney Futures Exchange Limited ("Citigroup Global Markets"). This Site is provided for information purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice to buy or sell CitiWarrants®. Warrants can be traded on ASX and investors can obtain a copy of the Offering Circular by contacting a Citigroup Financial Consultant. Investors may also apply for Instalment Warrants under the Offering Circular. Warrants are not bank deposits or obligations of, or guaranteed by, Citibank, N.A., Citibank Pty Limited or any of its affiliates or subsidiaries and are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. This information does not take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person. Investors should be aware that there are risks of investing and that prices both rise and fall. Investors should seek advice from a Financial Consultant based on their own circumstances before making a decision. © 2003 Citigroup Global Markets. While the Site might include excerpts, abstracts, other summary material derived from research reports published by the Firm's Global Equity Research Department, it does not constitute a research report, and any reference to a research report or research recommendation is not intended to represent the whole report and is not in itself considered a recommendation or research report. Users are directed to the original research report or note, available from among other sources your salesperson or our on-line research sites, to review the Equity Research Analyst's full analysis of the subject company. In addition, important disclosures relating to the companies that are the subject of research reports or notes published by the Equity Research Department are contained on the Firm's disclosure website at www.citigroupgeo.com Smith Barney clients should refer to www.smithbarney.com and can obtain disclosure information from their Financial Consultant. In addition, valuation methodologies and associated risks pertaining to price targets, as well as other important disclosures, are contained in research reports and notes published on or after July 8, 2002. Any reference to research must be to Smith Barney Research.
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